Earlier this month, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s government presented the Federal Budget for the 2025-2026 fiscal year which allocated nearly 50% of the budget to debt servicing alone while severing subsidies – with a 13% cut on power sector subsidies – and announcing plans to broaden the revenue base and introduce new taxes to raise public revenue.

With a projected deficit of 3.9% of GDP and multiple economic challenges, one equitable way to raise revenue in Pakistan is through wealth taxes. But the country’s previous attempts at wealth taxation faced elite resistance and were eventually abolished. In the face of such challenges, a new study, led by ICTD Research Fellows Dr. Max Gallien and Dr. Vanessa van den Boogaard and Dr. Umair Javed from the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS) investigates the determinants of public support for wealth taxes which may help overcome this resistance. The study finds that support for these taxes is influenced by satisfaction and trust in the government, perceived fairness, and transparency in how funds will be spent.

Dr Javed remarked, “These results are significant as this is the first study of its kind providing this level of detail on public perceptions of wealth taxes in Pakistan. Our research presents strategies for policymakers responding to multiple fiscal pressures, including IMF-mandated reforms, that offer a more politically viable and socially acceptable path forward.”

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Digital Public Infrastructure in Pakistan

In parallel, another way to expand the tax base and increase compliance is by leveraging the potential of digital public infrastructure (DPI).

“DPI is a digital transformational approach based on interoperable, open source and accessible components – mainly digital IDs, digital payments and data exchange systems,” explains ICTD Research Fellow Dr. Fabrizio Santoro.

By enabling efficient service delivery, seamless data sharing and effective digital governance, DPI has the potential to improve transparency, streamline bureaucracy and limit tax evasion.

Recent research shows that DPI applications can enhance key functions of tax administration. The experiences of Uganda and Ghana, where national ID systems have been integrated with tax registration, demonstrate that leveraging ID data can increase formalisation and improve the quality of taxpayer information”, write Ahsan Farooqui (ICTD), Farooq Chatha (IDS), and Fida Muhammad and Waqas Ahmed Bajwa (Federal Board of Revenue, Government of Pakistan) in a blog for Global Dev.

They note that Pakistan has made significant advances in integrating DPI into tax administration through initiatives led by the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) but that challenges related to outdated infrastructure and capacity constrain hinder progress.

To address these issues and stakeholder resistance, “priority should be given to capacity building, fostering partnerships across sectors, and engaging taxpayers to increase awareness of digital tools, encourage participation, and build trust”, the authors say.

Related resources:

 

Learn more about our DPI Programme:

Fabrizio Santoro

Fabrizio Santoro is a Research Fellow at the Institute of Development Studies, and is the co-lead for our programme of work on Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI). Previously, he was Research Lead for the second component of the ICTD's DIGITAX Research Programme. His main research interests relate to governance, public finance, and taxation, with a strong focus on impact evaluation methodologies and statistical analysis. He holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Sussex.

Vanessa van den Boogaard

Vanessa van den Boogaard is a Research Fellow at the ICTD and a Senior Research Associate at the Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy at the University of Toronto. She completed her PhD thesis on informal revenue generation and statebuilding in Sierra Leone, and has ongoing research on the topic in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ghana, and Somalia. Vanessa co-leads the ICTD's research programme on informality and tax.

Max Gallien

Max Gallien is a Research Fellow at the ICTD. His research specialises in the politics of informal and illegal economies, the political economy of the Middle East and North Africa and development politics. He completed his PhD at the London School of Economics. Max co-leads the informality and taxation programme with Vanessa, as well as the ICTD’s capacity building programme.

Umair Javed

Dr. Umair Javed is an Assistant Professor at the Mushtaq Gurmani School of Humanities and Social Sciences at the Lahore University of Management Sciences. He completed his PhD at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) in 2018, where he was a recipient of the LSE Centennial PhD Studentship. His doctoral research focused on politics and practices of accumulation, and labour relations in Pakistan's informal economy, with a specific focus on the retail-wholesale (bazaar) sector. More broadly, his research interests span various aspects of political participation, socio-economic development, and urban public life in South Asia.

Ahsan Zia Farooqui

Ahsan Zia Farooqui is a PhD student in Economics at the University of Sussex and a Doctoral Fellow at ICTD. His research focuses on revenue mobilisation and compliance with subnational tax in the context of weak state capacity. Ahsan has worked on large-scale experimental interventions including governance, crime and policing, procurement transparency, vocational skills development, and poverty alleviation. He was also a co-investigator on a multi-country study aimed at increasing citizen trust in State through innovative sub-national policing reforms. Ahsan holds an MSc in Economics from the Lahore University of Management Sciences in Pakistan.

Farooq Chatha

Farooq Chatha is a Commonwealth PhD Scholar in Tax and Development at IDS. His research is focusing on OECD's approach to international taxation and developing countries. He earned an MA in Development Studies from IDS and holds an MBA in Tax Management from the Institute of Business Administration Karachi as well as a BSc in Civil Engineering from the University of Engineering and Technology Lahore. In 2004, Farooq joined Pakistan’s Civile Service and held various positions of tax administration and policy in the Inland Revenue Service. Currently, he is an Additional Commissioner (Inland Revenue) at the Large Taxpayers Office Lahore.
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