ICTD Policy Brief 17

Wealth taxes have become increasingly central in global debates about equitable taxation, particularly in the context of growing fiscal pressures, decreasing aid, and rising inequality. However, there is surprisingly little data on the nature and determinants of public support for these taxes in lower income countries, despite the importance of popular support to overcoming elite resistance. Drawing on a nationally representative survey of 7,500 individuals, this brief explores public support for wealth taxation and the factors that shape those attitudes in Pakistan. Three key findings emerge. First, support for wealth taxation is higher than may be commonly assumed, though highly dependent on the type of tax, with especially strong support for proposals to make income taxes more progressive. Second, support is not driven by self-interest: higher income individuals are in fact more supportive of wealth taxes. Instead, it is shaped by trust in the state and perceptions of its legitimacy. Third, wealth tax proposals that are clearly progressive, transparent, and include mechanisms for citizen input and earmarking enjoy significantly greater popular support. These findings offer practical insights into how tax policy can be designed and communicated to build political space for progressive tax reforms in Pakistan and other lower income contexts.

Key Messages

  1. Support for wealth taxation is higher than may be commonly assumed, though highly heterogeneous across different tax types.
  2. There is particularly high support for proposals to make income taxes more progressive, while public views are more evenly split on other means of taxing wealth, including increasing capital gains taxes, increasing property taxes, introducing an inheritance tax, and implementing the capital value tax.
  3. Support for wealth taxes is strongest among higher income individuals and those who trust the state and believe in its legitimacy.
  4. Tax policy designs that include earmarking of revenues or allow public input on spending decisions see markedly higher levels of support, reinforcing the finding that trust in the state and how taxes are spent are key factors driving support for wealth taxation.
  5. Inheritance taxes are more acceptable to the public when accompanied by clear minimum thresholds, suggesting that clear communication about fair policy design can shift public opinion.
  6. In low-trust environments like Pakistan, policy design and communication are critical. Demonstrating fairness and accountability is as important as technical tax design and will shape the extent of popular support, in turn shaping the political feasibility of introducing and enforcing wealth and progressive taxes.

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Authors

Max Gallien

Max Gallien is a Research Fellow at ICTD. His research specialises in the politics of informal and illegal economies, the political economy of the Middle East and North Africa and development politics. He completed his PhD at the London School of Economics. Max co-leads the informality and taxation programme with Vanessa, as well as the ICTD’s capacity building programme.

Umair Javed

Dr. Umair Javed is an Assistant Professor at the Mushtaq Gurmani School of Humanities and Social Sciences at the Lahore University of Management Sciences. He completed his PhD at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) in 2018, where he was a recipient of the LSE Centennial PhD Studentship. His doctoral research focused on politics and practices of accumulation, and labour relations in Pakistan's informal economy, with a specific focus on the retail-wholesale (bazaar) sector. More broadly, his research interests span various aspects of political participation, socio-economic development, and urban public life in South Asia.

Vanessa van den Boogaard

Vanessa van den Boogaard is a Research Fellow at ICTD and a Senior Research Associate at the Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy at the University of Toronto. She completed her PhD thesis on informal revenue generation and statebuilding in Sierra Leone, and has ongoing research on the topic in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ghana, and Somalia. Vanessa co-leads ICTD's research programme on informality and tax.
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