Roadblocks and Revenues 3

The flow of opium presented unique opportunities and challenges for the Burmese armed groups interested in profiting from its concentrated wealth. In this working paper, John Buchanan explores the emerging features of armed group predation tied to the explosive growth of Shan State’s opium sector from the 1950s to the 1990s, arguing that the properties of opium, the physical terrain and varying state capacities, created opportunities and constraints for armed groups to profit from the opium trade. His study shows a need for moving beyond a focus on the presence of valuable resources and opportunities for revenue generation. Instead, Buchanan urges us to consider the properties of commodities, the intricacies of logistics, and the affordances of terrain in shaping the politics of passage.

This paper is the third in a new working paper series on Roadblocks and revenues, a collaboration between ICTD, the Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS), and the Centre on Armed Groups (CAG). You can read the first paper, which introduces the working paper series, here, and the second one, which focuses on Afghanistan, here.

The working paper series is generously funded by the Carlsberg Foundation under the Semper Ardens: Accelerate grant ‘TRADECRAFT’. Read more about the project here.

Authors

John Buchanan

John A. Buchanan is an independent scholar based in Thailand and a member of the Eur-Asian Border Lab Community at Tallinn University, where he previously worked as a researcher. His research investigates the intersections of conflict, state formation, and resource flows, with a regional focus on Mainland Southeast Asia. His publications include the monograph Militias in Myanmar (2016) and a recent book chapter, “The Politics of Criminality: The State, Opium, and Armed Groups in Burma,” in an edited volume (Gutiérrez Danton and Gutiérrez Sanín, Manchester University Press, 2025).
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